Washington Post/ABC News Poll, playing with the numbers again.
In the new Washington Post/ABC News poll out today President Bush's job approval rating is at 42%, the lowest its been for this poll. The Gallup/USA Today/CNN poll out two days ago had his approval rating at 46%. However, what is interesting is what is NOT mentioned in the Washington Post or ABC News articles about the polls.
If you look at the PDF document available via the ABC News website you find this;
And within the ABC News article is this;
However, at the bottom of the WaPo article is this;
A few questions come to mind, why does the WaPo find it necessary to leave out of the article the information about oversampling of blacks? Even though the ABC News article does mention the oversample their number of blacks is different than the raw numbers indicate ( 200 versus 271 ) and they leave out the 6-point margin of error for the black respondents.
And lastly, why did they oversample blacks in the first place? Could it be to ensure that they arrive at the lowest approval rating in Bush's career. Maybe? Ya think?
Looking at a few other non-Katrina questions in the poll, how any sane individual could disapprove of Bush's handling of the economy is mind-boggling! We have an unemployment rate of 4.9%. We have gained back all jobs lost due to 9/11 and added many more. The market is showing strength even in the face of Katrina. The real estate market continues to boom even though the MSM has been trying to kill it by continually predicting the bubble to burst.
When looking further at the economy numbers, 59% think the economy is "poor/not so good" and 40% think its doing "Excellent/Good." But yet when asked about the future of the economy 51% are optimistic and 46% are pessimistic. These numbers are down from 59/41 but that is probably due to the effect Katrina has had on oil and gas prices. Still the economy "future" numbers don't jive with how people think the economy is doing now.
If you look at the PDF document available via the ABC News website you find this;
METHODOLOGY This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by
telephone Sept. 8-11, 2005, among a random national sample of 1,201 adults, including an oversample of blacks for a total of 271 black respondents. The results have a threepoint error margin for the full sample, six points for blacks. Sampling, data collection and
tabulation by TNS Intersearch of Horsham, Pa.
And within the ABC News article is this;
These results are from an ABC News/Washington Post poll on Hurricane Katrina and other topics that will be released in its entirety at 5 p.m. today. The poll was conducted by telephone Sept. 8-11, 2005, among a random national sample of 1,201 adults, including an oversample of 200 black respondents. The results have a three-point error margin. Fieldwork by TNS of Horsham, Pa.
However, at the bottom of the WaPo article is this;
The poll was conducted with 1,201 randomly selected adults, in an interviews between Sept. 8-11. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.
A few questions come to mind, why does the WaPo find it necessary to leave out of the article the information about oversampling of blacks? Even though the ABC News article does mention the oversample their number of blacks is different than the raw numbers indicate ( 200 versus 271 ) and they leave out the 6-point margin of error for the black respondents.
And lastly, why did they oversample blacks in the first place? Could it be to ensure that they arrive at the lowest approval rating in Bush's career. Maybe? Ya think?
Looking at a few other non-Katrina questions in the poll, how any sane individual could disapprove of Bush's handling of the economy is mind-boggling! We have an unemployment rate of 4.9%. We have gained back all jobs lost due to 9/11 and added many more. The market is showing strength even in the face of Katrina. The real estate market continues to boom even though the MSM has been trying to kill it by continually predicting the bubble to burst.
When looking further at the economy numbers, 59% think the economy is "poor/not so good" and 40% think its doing "Excellent/Good." But yet when asked about the future of the economy 51% are optimistic and 46% are pessimistic. These numbers are down from 59/41 but that is probably due to the effect Katrina has had on oil and gas prices. Still the economy "future" numbers don't jive with how people think the economy is doing now.
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