Brokeback Backlash???

Could it be? "Brokeback Mountain" the best ensemble cast award to"Crash" and some are saying that it may be it is beginning to suffer some backlash which could hamper its Oscar possibilities.

The Screen Actors Guild took an interesting turn last night and gave their Best Ensemble Cast award not to favorite "Brokeback Mountain," but to "Crash," the only 2005 movie with a true ensemble.

Is this a blow to Oscar ambitions of "Brokeback?" Maybe. Also over the weekend, Ang Lee won Best Director for "Brokeback." Suddenly the Oscar race — which will crystallize tomorrow morning — is looking a bit clearer.

"Brokeback" will still be nominated for Best Picture, along with "Walk the Line" and "Capote." I do think that three films are vying for the two remaining spots, though: "Munich," "Crash," and "Good Night, and Good Luck."

After last night, the latter suddenly seems the most vulnerable. George Clooney losing the SAG vote to Paul Giamatti is one sign. The "Crash" win is another. SAG membership was blanketed with "Crash" DVDs, and SAG voting is the most accurate precursor of Oscars.

Tomorrow morning, when the titles are read alphabetically, there will be held breaths after "Brokeback" is announced. "Capote" will be next. And then? If you hear "Crash," then either
"Good Night" or "Munich" is in. If "Good Night" is in, then say goodbye to "Munich." Of course, if "Crash" was overlooked by the entire Academy, then "Good Night" and "Munich" are in.

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